Patriots vs Dolphins Game Breakdown

Patriots

3W-8L

11/24/24

01:00 PM

Odds: 43.5 o/u

Dolphins

4W-6L

Get ready for an electric showdown at Hard Rock Stadium as the 3W-8L New England Patriots gear up to clash with the 4W-6L Miami Dolphins this sunny Sunday! With kickoff slated for 01:00 PM, the stakes are high and the betting lines are buzzing—Patriots at +172 and Dolphins at a hefty -375, with an over/under teasing at 43.5. Fresh off their bouts last week, where Patriots’ QB Drake Maye dazzled with two passing touchdowns and Dolphins’ TE Jonnu Smith snagged two in the end zone, both teams are pumped to tip the scales in their favor today. The field’s set under partly cloudy skies, a brisk breeze, and the mercury hitting 80°—perfect football weather. As the Patriots try to march from New England’s cold to Miami’s heat, it’s all about whether they can cool down the sizzling Dolphins in their own tank.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: 11/24/24 01:00 PM

Location: Hard Rock Stadium , Miami

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the ENE at 15.7 mph. Temperature is at 80° with 47% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NE ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+172.0	-375.0	43.5	4.5/-7.5
Recent	+172.0	-375.0	43.5	4.5/-7.5
Difference	0	0	0	–

Patriots Odd Projections

36.8% Win Probability

Dolphins Odd Projections

63.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
2024-10-06	Dolphins Dolphins	10	Under	-18.5
2024-10-06	Patriots Patriots	15	Under	-18.5
2023-10-29	Patriots Patriots	17	Over	+4.5
2023-10-29	Dolphins Dolphins	31	Over	+4.5
2023-09-17	Dolphins Dolphins	17	Under	-2.5
2023-09-17	Patriots Patriots	24	Under	-2.5
2023-01-01	Dolphins Dolphins	23	Over	+0.5
2023-01-01	Patriots Patriots	21	Over	+0.5
2022-09-11	Patriots Patriots	7	Under	-16.5
2022-09-11	Dolphins Dolphins	20	Under	-16.5
2022-01-09	Patriots Patriots	24	Over	+13.5
2022-01-09	Dolphins Dolphins	33	Over	+13.5
2021-09-12	Dolphins Dolphins	16	Under	-10.5
2021-09-12	Patriots Patriots	17	Under	-10.5

Patriots Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	PassYd	RushYd	O/U
2024-11-17	LA	22-28L	282	125	Over
2024-11-10	CHI	19-3W	184	144	Under
2024-11-03	TEN	17-20L	206	110	Under
2024-10-27	NYJ	25-22W	155	111	Over
2024-10-20	JAX	16-32L	276	38	Over
2024-10-13	HOU	21-41L	243	82	Over
2024-10-06	MIA	10-15L	160	151	Under
2024-09-29	SF	13-30L	168	73	Under
2024-09-19	NYJ	3-24L	120	78	Under
2024-09-15	SEA	20-23L	149	185	Under
2024-09-08	CIN	16-10W	121	170	Under

Dolphins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	PassYd	RushYd	O/U
2024-11-17	LV	34-19W	288	82	Over
2024-11-11	LA	23-15W	207	67	Under
2024-11-03	BUF	27-30L	231	149	Over
2024-10-27	ARI	27-28L	234	150	Over
2024-10-20	IND	10-16L	161	188	Under
2024-10-06	NE	15-10W	194	193	Under
2024-09-30	TEN	12-31L	96	106	Under
2024-09-22	SEA	3-24L	186	65	Under
2024-09-12	BUF	10-31L	225	139	Under
2024-09-08	JAX	20-17W	338	81	Under

Patriots Vs Over/Under

Dolphins Vs Over/Under

Team’s Player Projections

New England Patriots	DK	FD	PassYd	PassTD	RushYd	RecYd	Rec	TD
Drake Maye	17.8	17.8	182.7	1.3	44.6	0.0	0.0	0.2
Rhamondre Stevenson	14.2	14.2	0.0	0.0	56.1	11.2	2.6	0.8
Kayshon Boutte	10.5	10.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	54.9	3.7	0.2
Hunter Henry	10.2	10.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	49.5	4.6	0.1
DeMario Douglas	9.9	9.9	0.0	0.0	1.1	43.6	4.8	0.1
New England Patriots	6.2	6.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Austin Hooper	6.0	6.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	25.3	2.4	0.1
Ja’Lynn Polk	3.3	3.3	0.0	0.0	0.0	8.0	1.1	0.2
JaMycal Hasty	3.3	3.3	0.0	0.0	6.9	7.8	1.1	0.1
K.J. Osborn	2.8	2.8	0.0	0.0	0.0	8.5	1.0	0.1

Miami Dolphins	DK	FD	PassYd	PassTD	RushYd	RecYd	Rec	TD
De’Von Achane	21.0	21.0	0.0	0.0	62.9	43.6	5.8	0.7
Tua Tagovailoa	18.2	18.2	306.2	1.6	11.4	0.0	0.0	0.0
Tyreek Hill	16.7	16.7	0.0	0.0	7.6	75.1	6.0	0.3
Jaylen Waddle	10.7	10.7	0.0	0.0	0.8	51.2	4.3	0.1
Jonnu Smith	9.9	9.9	0.0	0.0	-0.1	44.1	4.2	0.1
Miami Dolphins	8.5	8.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Raheem Mostert	7.7	7.7	0.0	0.0	30.8	15.1	1.3	0.3
Jaylen Wright	4.3	4.3	0.0	0.0	41.3	0.0	0.0	0.0
Odell Beckham Jr.	4.3	4.3	0.0	0.0	0.0	15.4	2.4	0.0
River Cracraft	2.0	2.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Patriots Notable Injuries

Dolphins Notable Injuries

Tanner Conner – OUT (knee)
Last Game: 2024-11-11 – 0.7 fpts avg over last 5 games
Grant DuBose – QUESTIONABLE (shoulder)
Last Game: 2024-09-12 – 1.1 fpts avg over last 5 games
Tyler Huntley – OUT (shoulder)
Last Game: 2024-10-20 – 11.3 fpts avg over last 5 games
Skylar Thompson – QUESTIONABLE (chest)
Last Game: 2024-09-22 – 3.0 fpts avg over last 5 games
Jeff Wilson Jr. – QUESTIONABLE (knee)
Last Game: 2024-09-30 – 1.8 fpts avg over last 5 games